Τα mobile apps δεν θα υπάρχουν σε λίγα χρόνια

"Πωλείται Η/Υ 386 σε άριστη κατάσταση και με πολλά προγράμματα". Τη θυμάμαι σαν χθες την αγγελία που είχα δει στο Ηράκλειο, λίγες εβδομάδες αφού είχα εγγραφεί πρωτοετής στο Τμήμα Επιστήμης Υπολογιστών Πανεπιστημίου Κρήτης τον Οκτώβριο του '96 και έπαιρνα μια πρώτη επαφή με το επιστημονικό και επαγγελματικό αντικείμενο. Ήδη τότε βέβαια, πρακτικά άσχετος ακόμα (πολλοί βέβαια ισχυρίζονται πως αυτό ακριβώς παραμένω και σήμερα), καταλάβαινα πως ούτε για δώρο δεν έκανε το PC εκείνο - ήδη οι Pentium ήταν το standard της αγοράς. Μου είχε κάνει όμως μεγάλη εντύπωση το "με πολλά προγράμματα".

Όπως περνούσαν τα χρόνια στο πανεπιστήμιο μάθαμε για την πάλη των λειτουργικών συστημάτων. Οι "σοβαροί" δούλευαν με unix, οι πολλοί με dos και μετά με windows, και οι περίεργοι με macintosh. Γενικά βέβαια στην αγορά κυριαρχούσαν τα windows καθότι "εκεί υπήρχαν οι περισσότερες εφαρμογές".

Όπως εξελισσόταν το web, σύντομα πολλοί developers κατάλαβαν πως αντί να έχουν πρόσβαση σε αρχεία, μόνο, μέσω του browser, του "universal user interface" όπως το έλεγαν κάποιοι, μπορούσαν κάλλιστα να έχουν πρόσβαση και σε προγράμματα, όχι μάλιστα μόνο οι χρήστες αλλά και άλλα προγράμματα, μέσω πάντα του πρωτοκόλλου web. Κάπως έτσι γεννήθηκαν τα web services και το SaaS - που τότε το λέγαμε "μοντέλο ASP" από το Application Service Provision.

Με την εξέλιξη αυτή, το λειτουργικό σύστημα του υπολογιστή του χρήστη έπαψε να έχει σημασία. Είτε δούλευες από unix (linux, πλέον), ή windows ή του (προσφάτως αναστηθέντoς) iMac, πολύ απλά "έμπαινες" στην εφαρμογή μέσω του browser. Ήταν μια αληθινή επανάσταση.

Λίγα χρόνια μετά η Apple κάνει κάτι μαγικό: Εξελίσσει την ιδέα του smartphone, που βεβαίως ήταν ήδη στην αγορά από την BlackBerry για τους business users, δημιουργώντας το απόλυτο καταναλωτικό αγαθό των τελευταίων 10 ετών, το iPhone, και εισαγάγοντας ταυτόχρονα ένα νέο business model: Εκείνο των mobile apps. Δημιουργήθηκε έτσι μια εκρηκτικά αναπτυσσόμενη αγορά η οποία όμως έχει ξεκάθαρα ολιγοπωλειακά χαρακτηριστικά, πράγμα που την καθιστά για την ώρα inefficient και σύντομα θα την κάνει obsolete.

Οι ανταγωνιστές της Apple ακολούθησαν τον ίδιο δρόμο. Google, Microsoft και BlackBerry έκαναν τα δικά τους "App Stores" και οι μανιώδεις καταναλωτές μπορούσαν να κατεβάζουν ασταμάτητα εφαρμογές! Για πόσο όμως μπορεί να συμβαίνει αυτό; Πόσες δεκάδες, ή ίσως και εκατοντάδες, διαφορετικά apps μπορεί να έχει κάποιος στο smartphone του; Πόσο ευχάριστο είναι να ανανεώνει 10-20 από αυτά κάθε φορά που μπαίνει στο App Store; Πόσο πολύ αρέσει στους παραγωγούς των προγραμμάτων να αποδίδουν 30% νταβατζιλίκι στους κατασκευαστές του λειτουργικού συστήματος;

Η απάντηση σε όλα αυτά τα ερωτήματα είναι μάλλον απλή: Αυτό που έγινε στη δεκαετία του '90, συμβαίνει ξανά. Ομοίως και η κατάληξη θα είναι η ίδια: Τα πάντα θα πάνε στον browser  και οι εφαρμογές θα αποσυνδεθούν από το λειτουργικό σύστημα του υπολογιστή πρόσβασης - είτε είναι PC, ή laptop, ή tablet, ή smartphone ή οτιδήποτε άλλο. Όλα στον browser!

Με βάση τη συλλογιστική αυτή, η πρόταση που έχω να κάνω τόσο στους νέους developers όσο και στους δημιουργούς επιχειρηματικών ιδεών, είναι να μην "κολλάνε" σε τεχνικές έννοιες που είναι προσωρινές και εφήμερες. Το "app economy" και "app ecosystem" δεν είναι κάτι νέο, είναι ορολογία και έννοια της δεκαετίας του '90 που είναι, εδώ και πάνω από 10 χρόνια, ιδιαίτερα ξεπερασμένη.

Στο πλαίσιο αυτό, όπως πια μόνο πολύ εξειδικευμένες ανάγκες καλύπτονται με desktop apps, ισχυρίζομαι ότι σε λίγα χρόνια αντίστοιχα λίγες θα είναι και οι χρήσιμες native apps σε οποιοδήποτε smartphone.

Entrepreneurship and Universities: More on my IVLP / ANB13 experience

New York City

October 1st, 2013

Tom Leighton, the SAT problem and changing Universities in Europe to support entrepreneurial growth and job creation

Tom Leighton is a very special person. Being a Professor of Applied Mathematics at MIT, ranked as the best university in theworld in Computer Science & Engineering, he also is the founder of Akamai, the company which revolutionized multimedia delivery over internet in the late 90s, actually creating the unified video-voice-image internet experience that most of us enjoy today.

The "SAT problem" is one of the most difficult mathematical problems in the field of Boolean Algebra, which largely forms the core of Computer Science. At many Universities around the Globe, SAT problem is taught at the final year of the curriculum as an advanced topic.

Before starting my IVLP/ANB13 program in Washington DC, I paid a visit to Boston, Massachussets. I was informed there about the following two facts:

1. Tom Leighton teaches the SAT problem to MIT students during their 1st or 2nd year of studies (!)
2. The notes which Leighton distributes to his students mention his affiliation both to MIT and to Akamai . In other words, the MIT students while studying one of the hardest topics of their curriculum, proudly learn that their Professor has been the Co-founder of Akamai.

As far as teaching the SAT problem at 1^st year students is concerned, I will only comment that MIT’s ranking as No1 in the World in Computer Science & Engineering is anything but accidental. Many European Technical Universities used to include very strong mathematics in their curricula. Some of them still do so. It is rather obvious that keeping doing so and even increasing the difficulty level of the offered studies will only be good for Europe, in the new super-competitive global landscapes. Practical experience and learning tools, which must find its way to the Universities, must always be accompanied with solid theoretical background.

In this article however I shall focus to point [2], which in my opinion has a terribly high importance in understanding the changes that must take place in higher education in Europe in order to boost entrepreneurship and, via it, quality jobs creation. As a matter of fact, Universities in Europe have always been of high academic quality and more orless remain as such. Unfortunately though, in Europe we observe low entrepreneurial activity directly related with the academic and research ecosystem, which has created at least the following two consequences:

1. A “start-up migration wave”, where most of the high-potential start-ups in the EU have either moved to the US or plan to do so, and ,
2. A terrible opportunity cost has occurred in terms of quality jobs which could have been created, but actually they haven’t.

A rather disappointing fact is that linking the academic & research world with “the industry” has been a top priority for the EU Commission since quite a long time. Tens of billions have been spent in the RTD support programs in a number of “Framework Programs”, results however have been anything but satisfactory. In my opinion the main cause of this phenomenon is the following contradiction:

“While funding rules actually ask for “commercialization plans” and “partnerships with the industry”, in real terms the academic and research community simply does not appreciate entrepreneurship. If Tom Leighton had been a Professor in Barcelona, Munich, Lisbon, Toulouse, Athens or Milano, it is very likely that many of his students, as well as many of his fellow professors, would not like at all his double affiliation on his notes, as Professor of the University and Co-founder of Akamai.”

A so-much-19^th-century philosophy of not “mixing academic with for profit activities” is actually the highest barrier of European universities in their way towards being the knowledge hubs of sustainably growing entrepreneurial ecosystems.

During my IVLP/ANB13 program I had the privilege of visiting a number of leading American Universities, such as Georgetown, University of Colorado at Boulder, University of Denver, Southern Methodist University and Columbia University. At all of them, literally ALL, it was very obvious that the academic environment not only is entrepreneurship-friendly but it actually is designed to boost entrepreneurship and to promote the "culture of failure". Very few European Universities can really make a similar claim - If any.

Being in the fifth year of the financial crisis in Europe and having general unemployment in the South higher than 25%, as well as youth unemployment is some cases (Spain, Greece) higher than 50%, it is now the time to look at the ugly truth and do something about it. The ugly truth is that while the number of well educated young Europeans increases constantly, very many of them fail to find a quality job, while on the same time the industry complains for having difficulties to find the right talent to cover their needs. It’s rather safe to conclude that there’s a growing gap between market needs and education provided by our educational system, both in terms of formal knowledge, and, more importantly, in terms of culture.

Donald Rumsfeld had talked about “Old Europe” almost one decade ago. It was probably one of the very few cases where I had agreed with this US politician. Europe is old, indeed. Behaves like an old person, it is slow moving and ultra-conservative. If we don’t do today some radical changes in our educational system, in economic terms Europe can only hope to a slow death. In that unfortunate event, the best-case scenario for Europe will be to become a huge open-air museum for Chinese tourists. The game is not over (yet) however, there still is time for changes which can bring Europe back to global leadership, given that these changes will be implemented soon and with high level of determination.

The World’s economy becomes increasingly knowledge intensive. We have to adapt to this reality and turn our universities to the knowledge hubs necessary to boost the “economy of creativity and collaboration”. NYC, the rising star of the tech world, does exactly the same as discussed in our recent meeting with Nancy Ploeger, President of the Manhattan Chamber of Commerce, during my IVLP/ANB13 program in the US. 

It is quite interesting that, although NYC launched its start-up strategy only few years ago, now it is an almost equally developed ecosystem with the San Francisco Bay Area and rather more developed than Boston - Where there is a huge tradition of high tech universities. That is probably because the City of New York made a wise choice: They played on their strength! 

Unfortunately, we Europeans do not play on our strength but seem to prefer the copycat way - that is to dream for many of our regions to become "the Silicon Valley of Europe". One can easily name 10+ European regions dreaming/aiming to become the Silicon Valley of Europe. On the other hand in NYC nobody ever dreamed of becoming "the Silicon Valley of the East Coast". What is the result of those two different choices? Today NYC competes with the Silicon Valley at -almost- equal terms while those European regions still remain miles behind. This situation could easily be described as the "Silicon Paranoia".

Many analysts in Europe have suggested a number of necessary measures for promoting high growth and innovative entrepreneurship aiming to the sustainable creation of quality jobs. They refer to increasing seed/risk financing, improving bankruptcy legislation, adding entrepreneurship courses in all of the educational levels and realizing the single European market for businesses. The analysts are right in their recommendations; however such measures will unfortunately fail unless a major cultural and political shift take place.

Students and fellow professors in Barcelona, Munich, Lisbon, Toulouse, Athens or Milano, as well as anywhere else in Europe, not only shouldn't be skeptic with seeing a European Professor having an entrepreneurial affiliation together with an academic one, like Tom Leighton does with MIT and Akamai, but they should strongly encourage and be highly proud of academics and researchers who managed to create sustainable, growing companies on the basis of cutting edge technology and research in European universities.

If we reach that point, if every European student starts dreaming of an entrepreneurial endeavor instead of a corporate career, a hugely important step for Europe will have been made. Europe does not lack the financial, neither the human nor the symbolic capital necessary to become the global leader in high growth and innovative entrepreneurship. All of the parts of the puzzle are just in front of us. We only need to put them in order and inspire a new entrepreneurial culture, making the youth of Europe to dream of realizing their creativity in sustainably growing businesses.  

In a very few words, it is time for Europe to put creativity and innovation above job security, as far as employment is concerned. Once we do this, it will not take long till a number of Akamai-level companies will be created around Europe and their proud founders will be teaching and inspiring the next generation of European entrepreneurs. Like Tom Leighton of Akamai does in MIT.

Dimitris Tsigos is the founder of StartTech Ventures, a start-up incubator in Athens, Greece . A serial tech entrepreneur and pioneer in seed financing, currently serves as President of YES – European Confederation of Young Entrepreneurs. He also is the Founder of the Hellenic Start-up Association and a Board Member at the European Business Angel Network. In 2012 he was nominated as one of the 40 European leaders under the age of 40 years. Dimitris recently participated to the IVLP / ANB13 program organized by the U.S. Department  of State and Entrepreneurs' Organization.

What entrepreneurship is all about? My IVLP experience (so far!)

That email arrived unexpectedly.  It was from the US Embassy in Athens, Greece, asking for a meeting. I didn’t have any cooperation with the Embassy so far thus I got a kind of surprised. The meeting took place few days later and it was a very fruitful one. After a short introduction, I was informed about the State Department’s IVLP program and was asked if I would be interested in considering it. “Of course I’m interested in it”, was my immediate reaction, “but, you know, I’m not allowed to go. I don’t have a passport and I can’t have one because of my pending military service duty”.

I have to admit that  the level of surprise on the faces of the people in front of me, made me for the very first time to think that it might be a good idea to finally tick that box which was pending for almost eight years.

After my positive response, I took care of the required documentation and I was informed that I would receive an answer “in few weeks”. Going back to the office that day I was thinking that even if I was not finally selected, perhaps it would be a good idea to take advantage of the legislation for a 45-days-only military service for those who have turned 35 and, at last, get my passport. At the end, being a serial technology entrepreneur for 13 years and missing a visit to the US is probably equal to a Muslim who has never been in Mecca.

I joined the Greek Army as a Signal Corps soldier on March 21st and my last day in the camp was on May 7th. It is such a peculiar coincidence that while I was driving on my way back from the camp, leaving behind an interesting – very short, thank God – military experience I received the call from the US Embassy saying that “you’ve been selected for the IVLP – A New Beginning Program” and “you will be in the US from September 14th to October 5th”.

Frankly, that day could not get any better!

Right the next day, May 8th, I was at the Passport Issuing Authority in Athens applying for my passport. Got so excited to get it three days later – as well as a little bit proud of the passport issuing system that Virtual Trip had delivered few years ago. Just two weeks later I visited London, UK. It was feeling so great to be able to travel out of the Schengen area again!

Time flies much faster that we tend to believe.  September arrived so quickly. I had made the decision to go to the US one week earlier, speaking to the CloudBeat 2013 conference in San Francisco and meeting the tech / innovation community in the SF Bay Area and in Boston. It was just great! I was very excited for finally making it to be there and meeting global leaders in the tech business. Interestingly, I also felt proud of what the startup community has already achieved in Greece and other EU regions, given the huge difference in availability of risk financing  - which in the US is at least 5x more than the EU!

Arriving in Washington DC on Saturday evening September 14th I was ready to meet entrepreneurs from 29 different countries who were also participating to this program. I soon realized that it would be much better than expected! The spectrum of participants is amazingly wide. From France to South Sudan, from Portugal to Burma and Bangladesh, from Greece to Argentina and Thailand as well as from Hungary to Cambodia and Kenya, it is just an amazing mixture of cultures, nations, experiences and lifestyles!

It does get even better though! Not only there’s a hugely wide spectrum of cultures and origins but participating entrepreneurs greatly differ on scale, stage, sector, industry, maturity and a number of other aspects. They are, or probably the look, so very much different!

After two weeks of living, working and traveling with those amazing people, a very surprising feeling has come to the surface. They are all so different. We are all so different. Despite those differences however, either being a successful female serial entrepreneur and investor in France or an early-stage male start-up entrepreneur in Paraguay, you still face the same challenges at business, personal and family level. The challenges are similar simply because they have to do primarily with people and, yes you got it right, people are the same around the Globe regardless of skin color, religion or culture. People can be passionate but still vulnerable. People can be leaders and followers. People can create, but can also destroy. People are sometimes brave, some other times cowards. People are just people.

To be an entrepreneur is to be creative in a financially sustainable model working with other people. You can’t be an entrepreneur working alone. It is your co-founders, your employees, your customers, your investors, your suppliers. It is also your spouse, your partner, your siblings, your kids, your friends. It is all about people. It is all about managing relationships, communication and expectations with the human beings around us that actually define an entrepreneur.

This thought has been strong enough to absorb me for a while. I thought I had got it and that I should focus my energy to managing relations with the people around me. Suddenly, during the “forum” session organized by the Entrepreneurs’ Organization chapter in Denver, Colorado, I realized that I was wrong. We like it or not, it is not managing relationships, communication and expectations with the people around us that actually defines an entrepreneur. It is only about managing the relationship with your own self. Managing your own dreams, vision and expectation. It might sound simple but, trust me, is way the hardest part of the entrepreneurial game.

Once you’ve done this, however, then only sky is the limit – Perhaps, not even sky.

Welcome message for the YES EXECOM meeting in Thessaloniki, June 24 - 26

Dear friends,

Europe is under a severe financial crisis, the worst since the end of the 2nd World War. The ultimate tragedy of WW2 lead to the birth of the European Idea, the vision of a great single European country. European Union has been the outcome of the efforts towards materializing this vision and the Monetary Union, the Eurozone, doubtlessly is the most important milestone till today.

The current financial crisis has made clear though that a number of structural weaknesses have to be overcome for building a truly united Europe on a solid ground. One major part of the weaknesses concerns decision making and economic governance. We are very happy to watch recently the European Council initiating the process of addressing this challenge. However, another set of weaknesses, at least of the same importance with economic governance, has to do with entrepreneurial culture, spirit and investing in inventiveness, domains where Europe has to perform much better in the future for remaining sustainable and keeping its leading position in the global economy.

In the June 2010 EXECOM we shall try to uncover the EU structural weaknesses which let the financial crisis to have such a severe impact in our economy and to discuss the ways that Europe can boost entrepreneurship and inventiveness the years to come.

EU-27 does have the highest GDP worldwide. This fact makes all of the Europeans feel proud but also responsible for the global economy. Entrepreneurship, innovation, inventiveness and green economy form the core of the European response to the challenges of the financial crisis and will successfully lead Europe to sustainable growth the prosperity in the 21st century, the century of the united Europe.

Dear friends,

All of the members of ESYNE, the Hellenic Association of Young Entrepreneurs, will be honored and pleased to host you in Thessaloniki in a creative discussion for the future of entrepreneurship in Europe!

Dimitris Tsigos

Vice President

YES - European Confederation of Young Entrepreneurs

President

Federation of Hellenic Associations of Young Entrepreneurs